The Entropy Vegas Plays
Why you should subscribe:
Quite simply put, my projections have done very well on Todd Beck's Prediction Tracker site over the course of many seasons now. Beck compiles stats for each week of football, and each day of basketball. The amount of weeks and days I have the best ATS (against the spread) or mean error performance is quite high, given the number of predictors tracked. Along with having a lot of weekly and daily bests, I have led all predictors in various stats over the courses of entire seasons too.
That is all you really need to know! I used to go into too much detail on lots of reasons to subscribe. You can see all that below, if you'd like (including screen shots of the Prediction Tracker). Otherwise, just watch The Prediction Tracker for a while, get my free sample sometime, and view the unique compilations of data I provide for every game throughout the season. You'll know you've come to the right place for solid advice, as well as useful data for your own capping efforts.
The Prediction Tracker lists my system as "Dokter Entropy", usually. Maybe just "Dokter" or "Entropy" sometimes.
Check out the Tracker's final standings for the 2018 college football season: click here. Sixty-four systems were tracked (not all could be fit into the screen capture, so only the top are shown). Entropy/Timetravel has had several great seasons now, this one being just the latest...
Here's a highlight of a single weekend in 2018. Click here for the Tracker's September 29, 2018 results. Entropy completely dominated the week. :)
From the past...
The mere fact that we supply copious amounts of data on every game sets us apart from 99 percent of the "touts" out there. When you sign up and see our projections for sides, totals, and money lines every day, along with the voluminous game data libraries, it will be obvious that this is something on a different level. A lot of our competitors could just as well be flipping coins to make their picks. They usually supply nothing more than a few talking points that any sports fan could recite. Instead, here you get the nuts and bolts behind the picks.
Of course, profitabilty is paramount. The Vegas Plays are solidly in the black, hitting close to 55 percent over the last six seasons. Click here to see summaries for past seasons, or click here to see how things are going this year.
Recent highlights:
09/10/17 - I just noticed the system was awarded the top prize by the Prediction Tracker for 2016 college football win percentage (straight up wins). Same for the NFL in 2014!
09/29/13 - A screen capture (click here) of thepredictiontracker.com's Week 5 CFB results, sorted by mean prediction error. We quite simply crushed the competition on mean error and ATS performance. You don't get this kind of result against 58 other predictors by accident...
09/12/13 - A screen capture (click here) of thepredictiontracker.com's Week 2 CFB results, sorted by mean prediction error. Only three systems were below 12 points. A majority were over 13. We came out at the very top. (There were 59 systems tracked, but only room to show 31 in this screenshot.) Showings like this have been commonplace for us in recent years.
10/21/12 - If you check out our record on sports-bettors.com over the last 365 days, we have a profitable record in all four leagues. This is not at all a common sight there. Typically, if you look at a service doing really well in one sport, they'll be bombing in some other/s. Not us. Click here to see a screen capture of the search results.
Other reasons:
A) Bettors might do well simply using our freely published margin of victory predictions to wager. However, they would do better with our subscription picks. For example, in the 2008/09 NFL season, our predictions on all games covered ATS (against the spread) 55.9 percent of the time. Meanwhile, 61.7 percent of subscription plays won. Such high returns should not be expected every season, but you can expect a few percent gain with the subscription picks, and a few percent is often the difference between profit and loss.
B) Only subscribers get predictions for totals. Comprehensive advice on totals is rare - look around and see how few of our competitors make totals on every game. The same is true of money lines.
C) The Entropy ratings and predictions are updated promptly. While most sites take until the next morning or later to update, Entropy's new numbers are usually posted within minutes of the last result of the night (I'm a serious night owl). Most importantly, subscriber content is updated a full day earlier than the public predictions.
D) Entropy's accuracy has been documented by other sites. To name a few:
Todd Beck's Prediction Tracker
The CFPOOL
sports-bettors.com
The Prediction Tracker site has documented:
During the 2008/09 season, sports-bettors.com showed Entropy to be the most profitable system on NFL selections from early October through the Superbowl.
In the CFPOOL, about 225 participants pick the winners of 18 games each week. Picks are weighted by confidence, making the contest an excellent competitive benchmark for a computer system. Entropy took first place Week 3 of 2007 and Week 11 of 2008. The site maintains records for each week going back several years. It does not appear any other system has won two weeks.
In 2010/11, Entropy finished 3rd among 279 participants in the CFPOOL, and was the top-ranked computer system.
In 2009/10, Entropy finished 5th among 278 participants in the CFPOOL, and was the top-ranked computer system.
E) At least two independent pundits have chosen to include the Entropy ratings in their polls:
F) I do not aspire to become huge. The big players in sports handicapping can actually affect the point spreads. I don't want that kind of influence. I simply have an enthusiasm for prediction, and a desire to share it. You will never find me touting "locks" in glossy ads. I want to remain relatively obscure, and this is good for clients, as you should not want large numbers of people on your side in betting.
G) Full coverage of IAA/FCS college football. I won't make a lot of plays on IAA games until the books bring the juice down to normal levels (they offer -120 wagering, showing they are afraid of those games), but if you are interested, no one else provides the FCS coverage we do.
H) Look at the price! Consider it a small tuition payment to enter Sports Wagering 101.
